The 2022–2023 winter forecast is, in a word, unpredictable.

ACHR NEWS rounded up estimates from esteemed weather prognosticators. Predictions range from colder-than-average temperatures across most of the country to milder conditions, especially along the Eastern Seaboard.

The wildcard appears to be La Niña/El Niño. Two of the three meteorologists interviewed agree that a third year of La Niña is likely, which means warmer conditions in the east, but The Old Farmer’s Almanac Senior Editor Sarah Perreault anticipates a colder-than-normal winter across the U.S. thanks to a “neutral to weak” El Niño.

Bottom line: They aren’t exactly sure what the coming winter season has in store.

“Paul Pastelok, senior meteorologist and lead U.S. long-range forecaster at AccuWeather, said that this year has been one of the most difficult forecasts he’s put together in years,” ACHR NEWS reports.

One thing is for certain: Builders and remodelers need to have conversations now about the energy efficiency of their customers’ homes, as well as their furnaces and boilers, to ensure they can comfortably ride out whatever weather lies ahead.

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