Heating expenditures are expected to go down this winter — especially for homes that use propane — according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) Winter Fuels Outlook.

“EIA expects households that primarily use electricity or natural gas as their heating source to spend slightly less than last winter, households that use heating oil to spend 4% less, and households that use propane to spend 15% less,” the agency reports. “Only natural gas bills in the South are likely to rise significantly, by about 4%, primarily as a result of higher regional natural gas prices.”

The expenditure forecast is based on fuel price, consumption forecasts, and weather forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). NOAA predicts slightly warmer weather than the average of the last 10 winters.

Much of the savings for homeowners using propane will come in lower prices for the fuel they use in their furnaces and boilers. The EIA expects propane prices to be about 10 percent lower than last winter in the Northeast and 12 percent lower in the Midwest.

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